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forexchief

Kontes trading:fxroad

Discussion in 'Jurnal Trading' started by fxroad, Jul 23, 2012.

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  1. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    Melu maneh yaw
    Persiapan pengaturan resiko dr modal yg dimiliki.($200)
    Resiko per transaksi $10:
    Setelah Analisa-->1. eksekusi posisi- lot 0.01 Sl 50,
    pd posisi stoploss pasang pending order (buy/sell stop)
    lot 0.01 sl 50

    2.pasang pending order buystop lot 0.01 sl 50
    sellstop lot 0.01 sl 50
    Pair eur-usd
    Eksekusi dilakukan di sesi eropa dan usa
    " "
  2. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    Data yg saya ambil TF daily :
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    ....Blank....

    [​IMG]

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    kecerendungan msh turun

    Tf H4:
    [​IMG]

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    ...blank...
    [​IMG]

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    Setelah 2 minggu turun dr tgl 2 jul-13 juli,harga mencoba naik tp gl 20 juli kembali membentuk harga yg lbh rendah lg.

    TF h1 :
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
    di sesi asia harga turun mencoba menembus batas bwh.jika batas ini tembus kemungkinan akan lbh turun utk hr ini.tp jika memantul kemungkinan akan melakukan koreksi ke atas.
    crosscek dengan lsma daily
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Op buy dilakukan SL 1.2051 Tp 1.2151 atau lock profit
    sellstop 1.2051 Sl 2101 tp 1.2001
  3. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    sebelum open buy di sesi usa,dngn pertimbangan harga msh di atas lsma daily tp ternyata harga membentuk harga lbh rendah.
    Sl 50 pip sdh dipasang 1.2041 tp 1.2077 ato lock profit,jika lbh turun lg kena sl-ny
    pd posisi sl sy pasang sellstop dng sl 50pip di 1.2091 tp 1.991 ato lock profit

    crosscek dngn bb daily,terlihat sdh mulai menguncup kemungkinan setelah fase trending down mulai masuk fase sideways
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
  4. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    Oalah ternyata salah akun trade. Untuk open posisi tgl 23 juli,ane pake akun demo yg bkn untuk kontes,makanya kog ada yg aneh ma myfxbook ane..dasar kebanyakan akun demo.sorry mod...
  5. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    24 juli

    Mencoba membuat batas dr pergerakan harga

    H4:
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
    H1 :
    [​IMG]

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    crosscek dngn bb :
    [​IMG]

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    [​IMG]

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    [​IMG]

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    op 1: op sell--> sesi usa 23juli,dan asia pg ini belum mampu menembus Trendline aqua yg ditengah.2 open posisi dengan msing2 lot 0.01
    Utk pending order di Sl kali in tidak sy pasang.
    Jika harga ternyata naik lg dan membentuk high baru diatas high kmaren ,kemungkinan re entry sell di
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
    Utk sementara op sy tinggal dl.
  6. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    sorry br upload

    Ni perkiraan tgl 24 juli dimana akan ada reversal di sesi usa,tp belum tau di TL mana akan memantul.
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Kemudian dr data hr senin dan selasa,dan di sesi usa tgl 24 juli terlihat akumulasi data terlihat naik. Jd sy buat perkiraan pergerakan spt ini
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Yg jadi permasahannya td siang ketiduran jd gak op di siang hr tau2 hrga dah naik.Begitu harga naik,liat plan lngsng eksekusi sell tanpa crosscek kondisi kecerendngan arah dan market session dan open market di sesi usa.Akhirny terfloating
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    di sesi usa mulai terlihat area range kesepakatanny di TL merah
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Harga terhenti di TL kuning yg terbentuk dr 1 minggu yg lalu dan hr senin 23 juli dan terlihat mulai turun tapi harga terakumulasi naik membentuk high yg kebih tinggi lg dan low yg lebih tinggi di periode Tf 1H. Jika harga keluar dr area ini kemungkinan akan membawa harga lbh rendah lg atau lebih tinggi dr pergerakan selama 3 hr ini. Utk bergerak naik pergerakan harga msh dibatasi oleh pergerakan 1 minggu dan 3 minggu yg lalu(TL warna merah,kuning dan aqua atas). Sedangkan jika harga semakin turun batas yg jd perhatian adalah batas yg sudah ditembus oleh pelaku market dengan transaksi buy (TL warna hijau dan biru bwh).

    Utk plan tgl 26,blm bs sy plan krn posisi harga berada di tengah 2 TL merah meskipun harga dibwh lsma daily,msh menunggu aja.
  7. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    Cuman evaluasi aja.Hr ini bonyok sl 2 kali.

    Ni analisa di sesi asia dengan pertimbangan kondisi lsma daily cenderung down
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Menjelang sesi eropa sebenarnya terdeteksi dr kondisi bbma daily yg sdh flat,kemungkinan akan trending.
    [​IMG]

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    sy buat kemungkinan pergerakan harga spt ini
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Tp jd ragu2 setelah liat kondisi lsma daily dan 8H.akhirny op sell dengan menjalankan plan yg sy buat di sesi asia.Ternyata minat beli msh tinggi di sesi eropa. Seperti yg kata suhu; "Panjang dan pendeknya waktu berlangsungnya fase pola Trending atau fase pola Sideway secara teknis berhubungan langsung dengan ‘minat’ para pelaku pasar yang hingga saat ini pun masih belum terukur secara jelas."
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
    Sl sy pindh 50an pip lbh.dan ternyata kena sl. reentry sell lg di batas atas merah,kena lg sl so tutup mt4 drpd tmbh esmosi.n coba lg besok krn udh 2x sl.
  8. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    27 juli
    Dr tf daily: TL aqua seharusny menjadi alert line ketika harga berada di line ini.dr juli 2011,jan 2012,jun2012 harga tidak suka di line ini atau memantul ke atas lg
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Kemudian sy ambil range pergerakan dr bulan jun-jul.hmpir sama dengan range monthly pada KGcalculator-ny
    [​IMG]

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    Sy amati di tf H4:
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
    Ketika harga naik sdh ada batasan yg membatasi pergerakan harga.

    tf H1 terlihat harga bergerak dalam range yg sempit dan datar.
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
    Sedikit kutipan dr suhu:

    "Dominasi Buyers sebagaimana contoh di atas juga akan terhenti jika volume (nilai) dan intensitas transaksi para Buyers mulai melemah atau mengecil. Melemah atau mengecilnya volume (nilai) dan intensitas para Buyers ini hanya disebabkan oleh dua hal yang mungkin terjadi di pasar yaitu: pertama karena waktu aktif para pelaku pasar untuk bertransaksi sudah selesai (market Closed) atau hampir selesai dan kedua para pelaku pasar menurunkan aktifitas transaksinya karena ‘menunggu’ sesuatu yang secara fundamental berhubungan langsung dengan kecenderungan arah pergerakan nilai tukar mata uang. Saat keadaan ini terjadi dan ‘minat’ para Sellers juga masih kecil maka data harga akan terlihat bergerak datar dalam range yang relative sempit selama waktu tertentu.

    Strategi apa yg sy lakukan:
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    Sy pasang pending order buystop sellstop,masing2 0.01 lot sl 40 tp 40.
    Sy pasang buy limit diatas area TL up.sl 40 pip tp 80.
    Setelah pasang po,close mt4,lanjutkan aktifitas yg laen dl. cek lg di sesi eropa atau menjelang amrik sesi

    update: hit Sl.close trade utk hr ini
    Last edited: Jul 27, 2012
  9. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    Evaluasi utk 30 juli:
    Sebagai perbandingan,data sy ambil dr Tf H4
    [​IMG]

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    Tf H1 :
    [​IMG]

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    Dr sini coba bikin plan:
    di area TL green bwh sy ambil op buy.
    [​IMG]

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    jika ada kemungkinan turun sy amati dl menjelang sesi eropa dan terlihat harga :
    [​IMG]

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    op msng2 lot 0.01:
    [​IMG]

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    hit sl+
    op kedua :
    [​IMG]

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  10. fxroad

    fxroad Member

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    sebelum sesi eropa:
    2 kemungkinan
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us
    close buy yg kmrn,ganti op sell,hrga sdh dibwh TL ijo sy pikir aman utk sell ternyata kolor ijonya msh pengen naik.
    [​IMG]

    Uploaded with ImageShack.us

    update: op pertama hit SL

    op kedua: eksekusi op buy sesuai plan jika harga naik
    Last edited: Jul 31, 2012

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